New Center for Voter Information/AFT/Democracy Corps Poll: Support for Biden Intensifies Among Black and White Unmarried Women Voters, Solidifies in Battleground States.
Death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg inspiring surge in enthusiasm; Research shows Biden’s support growing among Democrats, Republicans, women and Black voters
Washington, DC, September 28, 2020 — Black voters and white unmarried women are driving a surge in support for Vice President Joe Biden, following Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death and amid the upcoming confirmation battle, according to new research released today by the Center for Voter Information, American Federation of Teachers and Democracy Corps and conducted by Greenberg Research. Biden’s support among voters in key battleground states and working class voters has solidified in recent weeks.
President Trump’s ability to appoint a new Supreme Court justice pushed voters to Biden by 13 points, with a 10 point gap in intensity, according to the research. Support for Biden among Black voters increased by 10 points since earlier in September, and 6 points among white unmarried women. Biden’s support among the Rising American Electorate – people of color, unmarried women and young people – is also growing. Data based on 5,500 phone interviews shows a tsunami of support among this group – with stunning Biden support with Black women, Hispanic women, white unmarried women, and white millennial women, as well white women college graduates.
“This research proves what we know to be true – people of color, young people and unmarried women will decide this election if they are empowered to turn out to vote and have free and fair access to the ballot box,” said Tom Lopach, President & CEO of CVI. “In the final weeks before the election, it is imperative that we continue to get information and tools into the hands of eligible voters, particularly those who have historically been disenfranchised.”
Democratic voters had consolidated their support after the Democratic National Convention in August, but these voters have since further coalesced around the presidential nominee.
The surge in Biden’s support is happening alongside increased support for Democratic House and Senate candidates, as the Republican party sheds voters. Biden is winning 65 percent of the vote among GOP defectors, as are 60 percent of the named Senate candidates — and there is a still room for growth.
The Center for Voter Information (CVI) is a non-profit and non-partisan civic engagement organization dedicated to providing voters with the impartial information they need to make an informed decision and cast their ballot. Its focus is the Rising American Electorate—the people of color, young people and unmarried women who together represent 64% of the people who can vote in America. Together, the Voter Participation Center and CVI have helped more than 5 million voters register and get to the polls in the group’s history, and run the nation’s largest mail-based and digital voter registration and turnout programs.
See the Data
Memo: The Evolved 2020 Race Structure
Presentation: The Evolved 2020 Race Structure